When is warming expected in the Urals? When will the weather be good in the Urals? "Shifts" in the weather
Every morning I wake up to bright sunshine! And in my head I thought: “Hurry to the beach! Hurry up and swim! In summer the world becomes brighter!”
As some weather forecasters predicted, summer will come this year not gradually, but all at once, that is, suddenly.
Already at the beginning of May, people will change their warm clothes for summer ones. And apparently they were right.
Now in most of our country the air temperature exceeds 20 degrees Celsius, and in some Russian settlements the thermometer even goes beyond 30.
What kind of summer awaits us in 2019?
Of course, many are interested in the question: “What kind of summer will it be this year - hot, dry, or, conversely, cool and humid, or will it just be warm?” Someone wants to know this in order to understand what kind of harvest they can expect, someone is thinking about what clothes should be purchased, and for others it is important to know about this in order to take time off from work in the most favorable weather.
Forecasters' weather forecasts for the summer of 2019 differ somewhat. Some argue that summer in Russia will not be hot and even rainy. Drought and forest fires threaten only the south of Russia.
In general, this summer in our country will be warm, but not very long. This means that throughout the summer the average monthly air temperature will be slightly higher than the climate norm. And the summer will be short because, according to some meteorologists, it will become somewhat cool already in August in the central regions of Russia, as well as in the north of the country: there will be frequent rains and the cold wind will increase.
But weather forecasters are reassuring that the weather in August will at times change to warm. True, the end of August will be cold, even colder than the beginning of this month and its middle. However, in the south of the country August will be warm, but there may be heavy rains. Somewhere until mid-September there will be sunny, warm weather, unless, of course, short-term rains and thunderstorms are taken into account.
In the Urals, according to weather forecasters, in June it will be dry and practically without precipitation; in July it will still be warm and even hot - the thermometer will rise to 28 degrees, however, the heat will alternate with showers and thunderstorms. In August it will be warm there, but it will rain periodically.
According to other forecasters, the summer of 2019 in our country will be extremely dry, which could leave Russia even without a harvest. Considering that they are also predicting an economic crisis for the country, the picture that is being painted is depressing: it’s time to run to buy cereals and stock up on crackers.
What will summer 2019 be like in Crimea?
The continental and maritime climate prevailing in Crimea guarantees a comfortable summer.
The air will warm up during the day to an average of 26 0 C, Water 23 0 C. Mild and warm weather will allow you to relax comfortably this summer and spend your vacation here.
The CenterGeology company began its work on the peninsula. At the end of 2014, we started the difficult work of drilling wells in Crimea, as well as all the related work: arrangement of wells, organization of water filtration. Having your own source of water is now a particularly pressing issue.
However, people are people, and nature itself makes its own adjustments without asking anyone. Time will tell what the summer will be like.
Read the article: " What should you drink and eat in summer?"
Spring has passed, summer 2018 has arrived. But nothing much has changed: it was as cold as it was. Looking at the weather outside the window, you won’t immediately understand what time of year you find yourself in. It’s either the end of Ural April or chilly October. Although the calendar optimistically says: we are in June!
Are today's cold, windy spring and bleak start to summer a rarity? Or are such weather vagaries normal? When will real summer come? Answers to these questions were given by leading specialists of the Ural Department of Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring.
To start Lyudmila Petrovna Savarynyuk, head of the agricultural forecasting department, suggested remembering exactly how spring “made its way” to the Urals this year:
- In most of the region, the snow has melted now on April 15-20. The soil has begun to thaw. But it was restrained by cold weather and frequent precipitation in late April and early May. At times, snow cover was established in some areas of the region. From April 20 to May 10, more than 200 percent of the precipitation fell. And in the east of the region - up to 400 percent. The average air temperature during the same period was 2.5 degrees below normal. In the first ten days of May, quite intense night frosts were observed.
Such weather conditions delayed the drying of the soil, so the start of the sowing campaign was delayed by 10-20 days. According to weather stations, the soil reached physical ripeness, when sowing crops can begin, by May 15, and in some areas even later.
It would seem that by mid-May the earth had warmed up to the required temperature - 8-12 degrees, but the weather intervened again - cold again, strong winds, precipitation. The average temperature in May also lagged behind the climate norm by 2-3 degrees.
“Over the past 20 years, a similar picture was observed in 2004, 2009 and 2014, that is, every fifth year,” noted L.P. Savarynyuk. – The start of agricultural work was also delayed by 7-10 days. But in those years, the May weather quickly reached good indicators; on some days the temperature rose to 28, or even 30 degrees. On average, the monthly temperature in May in those years was 2-3 degrees higher than normal. And this year the level of May heat was low, by the end of the month not reaching an average of 10 degrees Celsius per day.
This weather seriously slowed down the sowing campaign: according to the regional Ministry of Agriculture, by the end of May only 50 percent of the spring wedge had been sown. A delay in sowing will affect the growing season of agricultural plants, which may result in late ripening of spring crops. This, in turn, entails late harvesting, and the weather in September in the Urals cannot boast of warmth either. The result is crop loss.
She spoke about the reasons for the current unstable weather Galina Andriyanovna Sheporenko, chief weather forecaster Ural Department for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring:
- In April and May, climatic conditions were characterized by a pronounced predominance of northwestern atmospheric flows. In the Urals, the weather was “controlled” by a vast anticyclone, the center of which migrated to the regions of Taimyr and the Kara Sea and caused the frequent invasion of cold air masses. Atmospheric fronts and cyclones were very frequent on our territory: four cold anticyclones passed through in May. The prevailing opinion that if it is warm in Moscow, then in two days this weather will reach the Urals, this time it was not justified. Only isolated short bursts of warmth made their way to us. As a result, the average temperature in May turned out to be 6 degrees lower than in Moscow.
The active frontal zone over the Urals also provoked some strong winds.
According to the climate norm, it should be very windy - with a speed of 15 meters per second or more - for 2-3 days during May. Today it was observed for 7-8 days.
Frosts were also common in May. For example, at the weather station in the Rezhevsky district, where frosts are traditionally very often observed, this happened on almost every third night during May.
“Last year the summer was also very heterogeneous,” notes G.A. Sheporenko. – The first half was very rainy, the soil was waterlogged. The second half turned out to be more favorable; there were even hot days in August. And the harvest was more or less normal. And weather situations such as this spring have already occurred during the observation period. For example, the spring of 1985 turned out to be very cold, especially the second half of May - with intense frosts, which led to the freezing of already sown crops. In the Kurgan region, up to 70 percent of crops froze then. Frosts that year were observed almost until mid-June. So the current weather is not unique.
The weather situation, according to forecasters, should improve by mid-June. So far we have seen precipitation in the form of light snow in the first days of summer. We will, of course, have favorable days, but it is too early to talk about stable warming.
And yet we can only hope that nature has more than just bad weather in store for the people of the Urals.
“June is traditionally not a very reliable month for us. Therefore, let’s be patient,” suggested the chief weather forecaster of the Middle Urals.
According to the long-term forecast of the Federal Hydrometeorological Center, July in the Urals should be without disasters, with temperatures and precipitation levels familiar to the region. Let us remind you that the average monthly temperature, taking into account night and daytime indicators, is considered to be the norm for July - 17-19 degrees. Long-term forecasts are not very reliable. At least it shouldn't be worse than last year. But, alas, we can no longer hope for high yields.
Natalya Bereznyakova
We would like to remind you that earlier a specialist from the Ural Research Institute of Agriculture said during a correspondence “hotline” that
At the end of March, the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia published its weather forecast for the next six months - from April to September 2018. Such forecasts are compiled so that authorities in one or another part of the country can assess the risks of natural disasters, the approximate degree of fire danger in the coming summer season, etc. Forecasts for the spring-summer season are also important for agricultural enterprises. Of course, such long-term forecasts will also be of interest to ordinary residents of a particular region, especially regarding the weather in the summer months. What will the summer of 2018 be like in the Urals - will the summer be warmer relative to the long-term average, should we be afraid of a rainy summer this year. The probability of the presented forecasts is estimated by the Hydrometeorological Center itself at 69-72%.
May in the Urals in 2018 will be warmer than last year
The weather in the Urals in May 2018 will be slightly more comfortable than it was in 2017. In the main territory of the Urals, the air temperature will correspond to the long-term average values, and in the north of the district (north of Yekaterinburg, towards the Polar Urals) it will be warmer than usual this month.
Average day and night temperatures in May for the capitals of the Ural regions look like this:
Approximately the same average air temperature can be expected in May 2018.
As for the amount of precipitation, it will also correspond to average values. In the north of the Sverdlovsk and Tyumen regions there will be less precipitation than usual.
June 2018 in the Urals - in some places a little rainier than usual
In June, in the Ural Federal District we should also expect air temperatures at the level of average long-term observations. Only in the very north of the district, in the Salekhard region, will average temperatures be above average.
In the main Ural cities, the average monthly temperature for June is as follows:
As for the amount of precipitation, in general it will correspond to average values, but in the northwestern part of the Ural District, on the border of the Sverdlovsk region and the Perm Territory, June will be slightly rainier than usual.
July 2018 in the Urals will be hot and rainy
Most of the Urals, from Chelyabinsk and Kurgan in the south to Khanty-Mansiysk and Surgut in the north, will enjoy hot weather in July. The average temperature in July 2018 is expected to be higher than the average observed for that month.
Temperatures corresponding to the average for July are expected in the north of the district, in particular in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug.
Average day and night temperatures for July in the largest cities of the district are as follows:
For Chelyabinsk, Yekaterinburg, Tyumen and Kurgan, the month will be rainier than the average for this month. In the north of the county, precipitation will be typical for July.
August 2018 will be rainy in the east of the Urals
In August 2018, according to the long-term forecast of weather forecasters, the air temperature throughout the Urals will correspond to the climate norm for this month. Accordingly, you can focus on the average indicators for this month:
In the eastern regions of the Urals, in the Tyumen and Kurgan regions, the amount of precipitation will be above normal, and August will be rainy.
At the end of the first spring month, another weather forecast for the next six months appeared on the website of the main meteorological service of our country. It covers the period from April to September of the current year and is official for all sensitive government services. The main goal of periodic long-term weather forecasting is to reduce the risk of unforeseen climate surprises from our mother nature. For example, the possibility of drought or heavy rainfall is analyzed by departments and enterprises associated with the production of agricultural products, and the risk of fire hazards is taken under control by the services of the Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations. In addition, the forecasts of the Hydrometeorological Center are also in demand by ordinary citizens; they study them with pleasure and take note. What kind of summer will it be in the Urals in 2018 - will the air temperature in the coming season return to its usual long-term levels, what is the likelihood that the summer period will be rainy, as well as expert forecasts for the upcoming season, we will discuss in this article. I would like to immediately warn you that the Hydrometeorological Center itself estimates the probability of its forecasts at no more than 70%.
What will the last spring month be like in the Urals this year?
The May climate situation in the Urals in 2018 promises to be much friendlier and more comfortable than a year ago. A large area of the region will delight its residents with warm spring weather with normal air temperatures for this time of year. In the northern regions it will even be a little warmer than usual.
On average, temperature indicators in this region will correspond to May climate norms, and will look like this:
- in Yekaterinburg – from +5.5 to +16.9 degrees;
- in Kurgan – from +5.9 to +18.9 degrees;
- in Salekhard - from +2.0 to +5.6 degrees;
- in Tyumen – from +4.4 to +16.6 degrees;
- in Khanty-Mansiysk – from +1.5 to +11.7 degrees;
- in Chelyabinsk – from +6.2 to +18.4 degrees.
Approximately the same picture with average temperature indicators was observed last year. The amount of precipitation in the region, like a year ago, will approach the usual norms for the May period, and in the northern regions of the Tyumen region, it will even lag slightly behind the usual indicators.
What June is expected in the Urals this year?
The first summer month in the region, compared to June 2017, will be characterized by a greater abundance of precipitation, otherwise no major changes are expected - the air temperature will remain within the parameters usual for the beginning of summer, and only in the area of the city of Salekhard will it be slightly higher than usual .
The temperature picture in certain areas of the region will look like this:
- in Yekaterinburg – from +10.9 to +22.0 degrees;
- in Kurgan – from +11.4 to +23.8 degrees;
- in Salekhard - from +3.7 to +12.3 degrees;
- in Tyumen – from +10.3 to +22.2 degrees;
- in Khanty-Mansiysk – from +9.5 to +19.1 degrees;
- in Chelyabinsk – from +11.5 to +22.8 degrees.
In terms of precipitation, the north-west of the Urals will take the lead - the climate situation in Perm and the northern regions of the Sverdlovsk region will be basically the same as in the entire region, but the abundance of rain will exceed the average standard value.
What will summer be like in the Urals in 2018 - what will July delight residents of the region with?
In July, the Urals expect high temperatures with heavy rains. In most of the region, from the southern regions (Kurgan, Chelyabinsk) to the northern Ural territories (Surgut Khanty-Mansiysk), hot weather will set in at the height of summer. This month the air will warm up to 25 degrees, which will exceed the norm by several points, and only in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug and some northern regions the temperature will be within the usual limits.
The following temperatures are expected in major populated areas of the district:
- in Yekaterinburg – from +13.8 to +24.0 degrees;
- in Kurgan – from +14.1 to +25.7 degrees;
- in Salekhard - from +9.5 to +19.4 degrees;
- in Tyumen – from +13.3 to +24.1 degrees;
- in Khanty-Mansiysk – from +13.7 to +23.0 degrees;
- in Chelyabinsk – from +14.2 to +24.5 degrees.
In most areas of the Ural region, precipitation is expected to slightly exceed the monthly norm, and the situation with rain in the north of the Urals will be quite typical for this period.
What kind of summer will it be in the Urals in 2018 - what will the last summer month bring to the region?
Forecasters do not predict any serious deviations from annual norms in this region. The average level of precipitation and temperature will fully correspond to the standard values for mid-summer. In a word, August does not have any serious surprises in store for the population of the Urals. During the month, the following temperatures will remain in the region:
- in Yekaterinburg – from +11.0 to +20.7 degrees;
- in Kurgan – from +10.8 to +22.4 degrees;
- in Salekhard - from +6.5 to +15.3 degrees;
- in Tyumen – from +10.4 to +20.7 degrees;
- in Khanty-Mansiysk – from +9.7 to +18.5 degrees;
- in Chelyabinsk – from +11.4 to +21.5 degrees.
In the east of the Urals, in particular in the Kurgan region and Tyumen, August will bring heavy rains.
Many people look forward to summer, which brings warm days and the opportunity to enjoy an active lifestyle. At the same time, Russians are accustomed to taking vacations during the summer months, focusing on the weather forecast. At the same time, the hot season can be devoted to tourist trips, beach holidays, and spending time at the dacha.
Lately, people are increasingly asking what the summer of 2018 will be like in the Urals. Without a doubt, it is impossible to make a reliable weather forecast for every day, but people have the right to know approximate trends to determine weather conditions.
General forecast
Forecasters are in no hurry to please the residents of the Urals with forecasts. It is believed that there will be quite a lot of rainy days in 2018. At the same time, real heat with very high temperatures is not expected.
Next summer promises to be moderate, not hot. The only exception may be the last summer month, namely August. At this time you will be able to enjoy truly summer weather. On some days you will be able to feel the real heat, thanks to which all your plans for outdoor recreation will be able to come true.
Forecast for June
One of the most important superstitions has long been associated with the very first day of June. If the first day is warm, then the subsequent summer months will be the same. If the weather is cool and rainy, the following summer will be disappointing with low temperatures and heavy rainfall. In fact, it is difficult to say how accurate this weather forecast is. In order to confirm it, you need to survive the summer of 2018.
Forecasters are confident that June will start with rain. In this case, the air temperature will not exceed 20 degrees Celsius. Only in the second decade will warming begin and the rains will become less abundant and longer lasting. The end of the month may be sunnier: the sky will periodically clear and the thermometer will even show 25 degrees Celsius. Despite this gradual improvement in weather conditions, hot weather should not be expected. It can be assumed that the weather in the Urals for the summer of 2018 from the Hydrometeorological Center will be unstable, so the end of June will again be stormy.
Forecast for July
Forecasters note that mid-summer will enjoy beautiful weather. Hot days should alternate with stormy ones, but the month will not be too stifling or damp. The most comfortable weather is guaranteed, so all people can enjoy their time and take care of the implementation of their plans.
At the beginning of July it may be partly cloudy. In addition, periodic precipitation and occasional showers and thunderstorms are forecast. Despite such forecasts, the rains will go away quickly. In addition, the wind promises to be light. The weather will be quite warm.
The second decade will already delight you with hot weather. The clouds will go away for a while. This sunny weather can last for about two weeks, so this period will be ideal for a vacation.
Only at the end of July will the rainy period with showers begin again. The air temperature will be about 30 degrees. It can be assumed that this period will bring not only freshness, but also higher humidity, as a result of which weather-sensitive people will suffer from changes.
Forecast for August
If you are interested in what the summer of 2018 will be like in the Urals, you need to find out what the weather conditions will be like in the last summer month. This period promises to delight lovers of sunny and hot weather.
The air will warm up to 33 - 35 degrees. At the same time, the rains will again give way to the sun. It is on such days that you can fully enjoy an active lifestyle, walks, and spending time in the blooming and picturesque nature of the Urals.
At the beginning of the third decade, the stormy period will begin again. At the same time, the rains will become long and mournful, reminding that autumn is approaching. Despite this, the end of August and summer will still please you with fairly warm weather, as the air will warm up to 25 degrees.